2. Bundesliga round 33

Union Berlin vs MSV Duisburg analysis

Union Berlin MSV Duisburg
70 ELO 70
-0.6% Tilt 17.3%
66º General ELO ranking 1553º
12º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
45.3%
Union Berlin
26.8%
Draw
27.9%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Berlin
-7%
+13%
MSV Duisburg

ELO progression

Union Berlin
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2013
MUN
1860 München
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
49%
25%
26%
70 74 4 0
26 Apr. 2013
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
65%
21%
14%
70 60 10 0
19 Apr. 2013
VFR
VfR Aalen
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
35%
26%
39%
71 67 4 -1
12 Apr. 2013
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
54%
25%
21%
71 68 3 0
07 Apr. 2013
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
43%
26%
31%
71 72 1 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2013
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
45%
26%
29%
71 73 2 0
27 Apr. 2013
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
39%
28%
33%
71 68 3 0
22 Apr. 2013
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
34%
26%
40%
70 78 8 +1
13 Apr. 2013
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
46%
26%
27%
70 70 0 0
07 Apr. 2013
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
57%
22%
20%
70 64 6 0