Union Berlin vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RTV
1 - 1
FCU
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 1
FCU
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
F95
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
KSC
0 - 0
FCU
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 1
SEV
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 1
FSV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
SGF
5 - 1
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 0
ERZ
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |