Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCU
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SVE
0 - 11
FCU
1%
5%
94%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
FCU
1 - 0
FCN
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STP
1 - 2
FCU
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
FCU
2 - 0
WUR
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
STP
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
DIN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RTV
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |