Köln vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
STU
0 - 2
KOL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 2
S04
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
KOL
0 - 0
EIN
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 3
WOL
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
S04
1 - 2
WOL
37%
26%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
WOL
3 - 1
CSK
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 3
LEV
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BYM
3 - 0
WOL
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 4
HSV
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |