Europa League . Last 16
Global 5-4
Köln vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
F95
0 - 0
KOL
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
KOL
2 - 1
BVB
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
STU
3 - 1
KOL
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
70%
16%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
KOL
3 - 0
KFC
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
STU
4 - 1
RTV
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
MUN
0 - 0
STU
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
STU
3 - 1
KOL
64%
19%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
STU
2 - 0
FCN
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
STU
3 - 2
HSV
47%
23%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |