Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 1
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KOL
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UNT
1 - 2
KOL
24%
23%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 1
SVS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
EBT
1 - 0
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SVS
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
STP
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OFF
0 - 3
STP
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 29 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
ING
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 0
STP
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |