Köln vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
SGD
0 - 2
KOL
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FSV
1 - 1
KOL
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
STP
0 - 1
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SSV
1 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
STP
3 - 2
SSV
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SSV
1 - 3
SVS
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
SSV
0 - 1
EBT
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |