Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
S04
1 - 4
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
KOL
2 - 2
BVB
64%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
KOL
3 - 1
EBT
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 1
SVS
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
S04
1 - 4
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
HER
2 - 3
S04
63%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
S04
1 - 3
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1983 |
ARB
0 - 1
S04
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |