Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
STU
0 - 0
KOL
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 4
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 3
WOL
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
OBE
2 - 5
KOL
6%
13%
81%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SCF
1 - 0
MUN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 0
SCF
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SCF
2 - 1
S04
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
KAI
2 - 2
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 4
SCF
8%
19%
73%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |