Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 3
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 1
ING
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 2
KOL
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 5
PAD
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
WEH
1 - 1
KOL
21%
21%
58%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 3
SSV
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MAG
3 - 3
MSV
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 2
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 2
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MSV
0 - 1
SGF
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |