Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1991 |
MON
2 - 2
KOL
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
STU
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1991 |
BVB
3 - 1
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
SVS
0 - 1
MSV
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 1
BOC
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SGD
0 - 0
MSV
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
MSV
2 - 0
S04
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
F95
1 - 1
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |