Bundesliga round 3

Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis

Köln Kaiserslautern
78 ELO 80
3.7% Tilt 9.1%
86º General ELO ranking 301º
15º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
42.6%
Köln
25.8%
Draw
31.6%
Kaiserslautern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
Köln
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.6%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-1%
-1%
Kaiserslautern

ELO progression

Köln
Kaiserslautern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2011
S04
Schalke 04
5 - 1
Köln
KOL
61%
23%
16%
79 87 8 0
06 Aug. 2011
KOL
Köln
0 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
38%
26%
37%
79 84 5 0
31 Jul. 2011
WIE
Wiedenbrück
0 - 3
Köln
KOL
12%
20%
68%
79 49 30 0
14 May. 2011
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
25%
26%
49%
79 88 9 0
07 May. 2011
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 - 2
Köln
KOL
50%
25%
25%
79 80 1 0

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
50%
26%
25%
80 78 2 0
06 Aug. 2011
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
65%
20%
16%
81 86 5 -1
30 Jul. 2011
BFC
BFC Dynamo
0 - 3
Kaiserslautern
KAI
9%
18%
73%
81 37 44 0
14 May. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
21%
22%
57%
81 87 6 0
07 May. 2011
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern
KAI
61%
20%
18%
80 84 4 +1