Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
SVS
0 - 0
KOL
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 2
EBT
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
ING
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
ERZ
3 - 0
COT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
STP
0 - 3
ERZ
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 2
SVS
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ING
1 - 2
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 4
HER
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |