Köln vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
EIN
3 - 2
KOL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 2
BYM
5%
14%
82%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HAN
1 - 0
KOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 0
KOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BVB
0 - 1
HSV
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
AND
0 - 3
BVB
21%
21%
59%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
S04
2 - 1
BVB
22%
21%
57%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 2
STU
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
M05
2 - 0
BVB
10%
17%
73%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |