Köln vs BFC Viktoria 1889 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
KOL
1 - 1
PRE
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
KOL
4 - 0
ERK
87%
8%
5%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
LEV
2 - 2
KOL
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
KOL
5 - 1
BVB
61%
19%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1953 |
S04
1 - 1
KOL
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |