Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1976 |
OFC
1 - 5
KOL
42%
24%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
56%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
RTV
1 - 0
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
KOL
4 - 0
F95
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
BYM
0 - 1
HSV
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
BYM
1 - 1
EIN
65%
19%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BYM
4 - 0
RTV
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
BYM
1 - 0
ASS
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
ROT
3 - 3
BYM
34%
24%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |