Köln vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
KSC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 6
KOL
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1965 |
ARI
2 - 1
KOL
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
KOL
4 - 2
NEU
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
EBT
1 - 2
KOL
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1965 |
ARI
2 - 1
KOL
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
ROM
3 - 0
ARI
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
ARI
0 - 0
ROM
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |