2. Bundesliga round 22

Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis

Köln Alemannia Aachen
78 ELO 76
7.6% Tilt 12.4%
88º General ELO ranking 1673º
16º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Köln
23.4%
Draw
25.7%
Alemannia Aachen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
Köln
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
Alemannia Aachen
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-2%
+15%
Alemannia Aachen

ELO progression

Köln
Alemannia Aachen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2005
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Karlsruher SC
KSC
72%
18%
11%
78 65 13 0
04 Feb. 2005
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
45%
25%
30%
78 76 2 0
28 Jan. 2005
KOL
Köln
8 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
65%
21%
14%
77 68 9 +1
23 Jan. 2005
COT
Energie Cottbus
3 - 5
Köln
KOL
37%
26%
37%
77 72 5 0
12 Dec. 2004
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
40%
26%
35%
77 75 2 0

Matches

Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2005
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
0 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
35%
25%
40%
76 82 6 0
11 Feb. 2005
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
2 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
62%
22%
17%
77 68 9 -1
06 Feb. 2005
KSC
Karlsruher SC
0 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
23%
24%
52%
77 65 12 0
30 Jan. 2005
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
0 - 2
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
62%
22%
17%
77 69 8 0
24 Jan. 2005
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
45%
24%
31%
78 76 2 -1