Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2005 |
KOL
2 - 2
KSC
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 0
KOL
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
KOL
8 - 1
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
COT
3 - 5
KOL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
KOL
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 0
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 3
UNT
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
KSC
0 - 1
AAA
23%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 0
AAA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |