Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
KOL
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
M05
0 - 1
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
COT
0 - 0
FCU
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 0
SVS
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 3
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
OSN
0 - 1
FCU
41%
24%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |