1º Dezembro vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
6º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
3 - 0
1DE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
1DE
2 - 1
AMA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
1DE
3 - 1
BEL
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAF
3 - 1
1DE
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
LUS
33%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 0
LUS
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
LUS
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |