1º Dezembro vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
1DE
2 - 2
SIN
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
1DE
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
1DE
0 - 0
CAS
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PRA
0 - 0
1DE
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 1
1DE
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
IDE
5 - 0
PRA
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SIN
3 - 0
IDE
61%
21%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
IDE
2 - 1
OEL
44%
23%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CFB
3 - 1
IDE
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |