1º Dezembro vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
1DE
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 1
MAF
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
1DE
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 0
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
1DE
2 - 1
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADN
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAF
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
CAL
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |