1º Dezembro vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 2
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
1DE
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 1
MAF
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
1DE
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 0
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADN
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ADN
2 - 0
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAF
2 - 1
ADN
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ADN
2 - 1
LOU
36%
28%
37%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |