1º de Maio vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SED
0 - 0
MAI
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 2
FEC
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PES
0 - 0
MAI
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 0
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
PET
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PET
8 - 0
SER
78%
16%
7%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
SED
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FEC
1 - 0
PET
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
PES
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PET
2 - 2
ISC
55%
25%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |