Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
ROS
3 - 2
ZWI
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 2
ZWI
39%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
ZWI
1 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
BSG
2 - 1
ZWI
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
ZWI
1 - 2
BWA
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERF
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
ROS
3 - 0
ERF
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 1
CHL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
CHE
2 - 1
ERF
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 0
BSG
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |