Zwettl vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 0
ZWE
58%
22%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ZWE
0 - 1
KOT
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 2
ZWE
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
ZWE
1 - 3
WAI
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 1
ZWE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPR
3 - 3
SVR
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
SPR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPR
1 - 0
SCO
59%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPR
0 - 0
ROH
33%
23%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
SPR
53%
23%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |