SVN Zweibrücken vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVN Zweibrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PIR
2 - 0
ZWE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
PIR
8 - 0
ZWE
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -3 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ZWE
1 - 3
M05
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
WWO
4 - 1
ZWE
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ZWE
1 - 0
VFR
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 0
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
AUG
1 - 3
KOL
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
KOL
3 - 1
HOF
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 3
KOL
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |