Zwarte Leeuw vs Hoegaarden-Outgaarden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwarte Leeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 1
ZWA
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SID
3 - 4
ZWA
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ZWA
1 - 3
DIE
56%
21%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BET
1 - 2
ZWA
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 2
WEL
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoegaarden-Outgaarden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GVL
1 - 1
HOU
15%
18%
68%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HOU
0 - 2
VEL
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BOR
2 - 3
HOU
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HOU
1 - 2
WAM
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 2
HOU
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |