Zwaluwen vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
4º
43
2º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
89% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 9
ZWA
29%
25%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ZWA
4 - 0
HEE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
ZWA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 0
DSO
59%
20%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 6
VOL
6%
12%
82%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
RVV
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LRC
2 - 2
SMI
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
NIE
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RKA
1 - 0
SMI
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 3
ODI
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |