Zwaluwen vs Nivo Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWA
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 4
ASW
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
KOZ
3 - 1
ZWA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 2
ZWA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HOE
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nivo Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NIV
1 - 4
NIE
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACH
5 - 0
NIV
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LRC
2 - 4
NIV
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIV
0 - 1
SCH
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NIV
3 - 3
HEE
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |