Zwaluwen vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 3
ACH
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCF
6 - 1
ZWA
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POO
4 - 3
ZWA
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 3
FCS
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DHS
1 - 0
ZWA
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JOD
1 - 0
ACH
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 1
ACH
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 1
DUN
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 0
ACH
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 3
DHS
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |