Zwaluwen .30 vs Valken '68 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VOO
2 - 3
ZWA
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ZWA
0 - 1
DEL
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FSP
2 - 6
ZWA
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZWA
0 - 1
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GHC
0 - 1
ZWA
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Valken '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
NOO
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 3
VAL
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
FSP
43%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VOO
2 - 0
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
SWI
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |