Zwaluwen .30 vs Castricum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
ZWA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 3
ZWA
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 2
VOL
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
2 - 1
DEV
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SDV
1 - 1
ZWA
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Castricum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 5
DEM
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
MAR
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |