Zvijezda vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
15º
9º
58
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 65 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 39 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 37 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 33 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 33 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 85% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VSB
3 - 1
ZVI
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZVI
3 - 3
TOS
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ZVI
1 - 1
TMS
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 3
ZVI
35%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ZVI
3 - 0
RAD
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 0
GRD
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 1
SLO
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 0
JED
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 2
RUD
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
ZEL
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |