Zvijezda 09 vs Borac Banja Luka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
65.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
12º
12º
75
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 58 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
86.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
98% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
2 - 1
ZRI
10%
22%
67%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZBE
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 2
GOS
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
ZBE
59%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 0
VEL
14%
24%
63%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 4
BBL
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 1
BBL
6%
15%
79%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IGM
0 - 1
BBL
16%
26%
59%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BBL
3 - 2
ZEL
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |