Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
9º
8º
12
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 40 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 37 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 35 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 32 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 30 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 29 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 29 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 24 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 24 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 24 |
12º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
48.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
FCW
0 - 2
ZUR
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
LAU
1 - 2
ZUR
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 3
SIO
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ULM
3 - 0
ZUR
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 0
THU
12%
17%
71%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
LAU
43%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
THU
4 - 1
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |