Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
STG
1 - 4
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
ZUR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
QAR
1 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 2
WOH
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
THU
1 - 2
LAU
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
THU
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
SGF
3 - 0
THU
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
THU
3 - 0
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |