Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 5
LEV
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 1
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |