Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 2
ZUR
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
THU
1 - 3
SIO
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |