Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 3
ZUR
20%
23%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
HSV
2 - 0
THU
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
HSV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
NEX
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SER
1 - 1
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |