UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-1
Zurich vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 3
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SDL
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 0
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SDL
2 - 0
KVC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 1
SDL
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |