Swiss Super League Round 22

Zurich vs Luzern analysis

Zurich Luzern
78 ELO 77
2.1% Tilt 17.9%
276º General ELO ranking 286º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.9%
Zurich
24.8%
Draw
30.3%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Zurich
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.3%
Win probability
Luzern
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-2%
-6%
Luzern

ELO progression

Zurich
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2018
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
78 73 5 0
04 Feb. 2018
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 4
Thun
THU
50%
25%
26%
78 75 3 0
27 Jan. 2018
ALT
Rheindorf Altach
0 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
38%
26%
37%
78 78 0 0
22 Jan. 2018
SHK
KF Shkëndija
1 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
28%
22%
50%
78 69 9 0
20 Jan. 2018
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
4 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
64%
20%
16%
78 85 7 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2018
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
39%
26%
35%
76 77 1 0
03 Feb. 2018
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
51%
24%
25%
76 72 4 0
30 Jan. 2018
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Rapperswil
RAP
70%
18%
12%
76 62 14 0
27 Jan. 2018
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
66%
20%
15%
76 85 9 0
23 Jan. 2018
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Chiasso
CHI
76%
16%
8%
76 59 17 0