Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
ZUR
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 2
ZUR
28%
22%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 1
ZUR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 0
RAP
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |