Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1996 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
ZUR
2 - 0
ETO
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
2 - 1
KRI
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
REN
1 - 2
FCL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 0
HAP
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1996 |
ORG
3 - 0
FCL
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 3
SIO
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
SER
3 - 4
FCL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |