Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCV
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
YOB
1 - 3
ZUR
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STG
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
ZUR
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 0
SIO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 2
LUG
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |