Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SIO
5 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
LUG
5 - 0
FCL
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |