Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 2
ZUR
9%
15%
77%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
APO
3 - 2
ZUR
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ZUR
4 - 1
SIO
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 1
TNV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCA
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 7
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |