Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |