Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
10º
8º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
ZUR
8%
15%
76%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 5
BAS
3%
11%
85%
|
82 | 19 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
BIF
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |