Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
10º
8º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
ZUR
8%
15%
76%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 5
BAS
3%
11%
85%
|
83 | 22 | 61 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
BIF
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |