Swiss Super League Round 14

Zurich vs Basel analysis

Zurich Basel
84 ELO 85
4.9% Tilt 23.6%
280º General ELO ranking 248º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.3%
Zurich
24.4%
Draw
36.4%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Zurich
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.4%
Win probability
Basel
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-1%
+20%
Basel

ELO progression

Zurich
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2009
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
83 73 10 0
21 Oct. 2009
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
40%
27%
33%
83 88 5 0
17 Oct. 2009
LOC
Locarno
0 - 7
Zurich
ZUR
12%
18%
70%
83 54 29 0
04 Oct. 2009
BEL
AC Bellinzona
3 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
23%
23%
55%
83 68 15 0
30 Sep. 2009
ACM
Milan
0 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
83 89 6 0

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2009
FCL
Luzern
4 - 5
Basel
BAS
24%
24%
52%
85 73 12 0
22 Oct. 2009
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 2
Basel
BAS
37%
25%
39%
84 79 5 +1
17 Oct. 2009
LEM
Le Mont LS
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
8%
14%
78%
84 49 35 0
04 Oct. 2009
BAS
Basel
5 - 0
Sion
SIO
69%
18%
13%
84 75 9 0
01 Oct. 2009
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Basel
BAS
50%
24%
27%
84 86 2 0