Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LOC
0 - 7
ZUR
12%
18%
70%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 2
ZUR
23%
23%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 1
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 5
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSK
0 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 3
BAS
8%
14%
78%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
BAS
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |