Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
0 - 5
YOB
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SCH
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
23%
57%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SCH
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 3
SCH
82%
12%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
GCZ
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |